美股熊市的对比图：今年 vs 2000年

标普500 

2000年1月至2002年5月

如图，第一波下跌从2000年8月底直至2001年3月底，4月初，时长7个月左右，从高点1520跌至1103，跌幅27.4%。

2021年四月至今（2022年6月）

如图，在2022年1月初见顶4800点，至今（2022年6月中）5个半月，跌至3664，跌幅23.6%。预测1【如果这一波的跌幅为28%，那么目标价位是3456左右，并在7月底左右】pbBrady Jiang.

NASDAQ指数

2000年1月至2002年5月

如图，在2000年3月见顶5048点，比标普500顶部早5个月左右，并在标普500见顶的8月底已经跌至4234，至2001年3月底，4月初的第一波，时长7+5=12个月左右，跌至1639，跌幅67.5%。

2021年四月至今（2022年6月）

如图，在2021年11月中见顶16057点，比标普顶部早一个半月左右，至今（2022年6月中）7个月，跌至10658，跌幅33.6%。

Monthly Intraday Charts for SPX and SSEC: 2014-07

This is a monthly series of intra-day charts for S&P 500 (SPX) and Shanghai Index (SSEC) for Jul 2014.

SPX

SSEC

Monthly Intraday Charts for SPX and SSEC: 2014-06

This is a monthly series of intra-day charts for S&P 500 (SPX) and Shanghai Index (SSEC) for Jun 2014.

SPX

SSEC

Monthly Intraday Charts for SPX and SSEC: 2014-05

This is a monthly series of intra-day charts for S&P 500 (SPX) and Shanghai Index (SSEC) for May 2014.

SPX

SSEC

Monthly Intraday Charts for SPX and SSEC: 2014-04

This is a monthly series of intra-day charts for S&P 500 (SPX) and Shanghai Index (SSEC) for Apr. 2014.

SPX

SSEC

Monthly Intraday Charts for SPX and SSEC: 2014-03

This is a monthly series of intra-day charts for S&P 500 (SPX) and Shanghai Index (SSEC) for Mar. 2014.

SPX

SSEC

Monthly Intraday Charts for SPX and SSEC: 2014-02

This is a monthly series of intra-day charts for S&P 500 (SPX) and Shanghai Index (SSEC) for Feb. 2014.

SPX

SSEC

Monthly Intraday Charts for SPX and SSEC: 2014-01

This is a monthly series of intra-day charts for S&P 500 (SPX) and Shanghai Index (SSEC) for Jan. 2014.

SPX

SSEC

Monthly Intraday Charts for SPX and SSEC: 2013-12

This is a monthly series of intra-day charts for S&P 500 (SPX) and Shanghai Index (SSEC) for Dec. 2013.

SPX

SSEC

Monthly Intraday Charts for SPX and SSEC: 2013-11

This is a monthly series of intra-day charts for S&P 500 (SPX) and Shanghai Index (SSEC) for Nov. 2013.

SPX

SSEC

Monthly Intraday Charts for SPX and SSEC: 2013-09

This is a monthly series of intra-day charts for S&P 500 (SPX) and Shanghai Index (SSEC) for Sep. 2013.

SPX

SSEC

Monthly Intraday Charts for SPX and SSEC: 2013-08

This is a monthly series of intra-day charts for S&P 500 (SPX) and Shanghai Index (SSEC) for Aug. 2013.

SPX

SSEC

Monthly Intraday Charts for SPX and SSEC: 2013-07

This is a monthly series of intra-day charts for S&P 500 (SPX) and Shanghai Index (SSEC) for Jul. 2013.

SPX

SSEC

S&P 500 topping at 1700?

S&P 500 is forming a head & shoulder pattern with head at 1700 and shoulder at 1675

Monthly Intraday Charts for SPX and SSEC: 2013-06

This is a monthly series of intra-day charts for S&P 500 (SPX) and Shanghai Index (SSEC) for Jun. 2013.

SPX

SSEC

Monthly Intraday Charts for SPX and SSEC: 2013-05

This is a monthly series of intra-day charts for S&P 500 (SPX) and Shanghai Index (SSEC) for May. 2013.

SPX

SSEC

Monthly Intraday Charts for SPX and SSEC: 2013-04

This is a monthly series of intra-day charts for S&P 500 (SPX) and Shanghai Index (SSEC) for Apr. 2013.

SPX

SSEC

S&P 500 Prediction

After 6 years, S&P 500 made all-time high at 1586 yesterday, exceeded Oct 2007 high of 1576.  My wild guess is that just like S&P 500 made a fake lower low of 666 in 2009 which is ~100 points lower than 2002 low of ~766, this 4+ year bull-market will make a fake higher high at around 1676 area which is ~100 points higher than previous high 1576 before it turns into bear market (correct 20%+).

The timing of top looks to be around May this year.

Monthly Intraday Charts for SPX and SSEC: 2013-03

This is a monthly series of intra-day charts for S&P 500 (SPX) and Shanghai Index (SSEC) for Mar. 2013.

SPX

SSEC

Monthly Intraday Charts for SPX and SSEC: 2013-02

This is a monthly series of intra-day charts for S&P 500 (SPX) and Shanghai Index (SSEC) for Feb. 2013.

SPX

SSEC