After 2.5 month 31% down trend, and 2.5 months of side-way trading, AMZN rose 4% today with heavier than average volume with no significant news while broad market is down.
The fact that this rise happens when AMZN hovers around 50 DMA for a couple of weeks and 50 DMA is slightly tilting upwards increases the credibility of this action and the possibility that this action leads a new short-term trend.
On downsides, at 141 trailing PE, it's trading at very high premium; AAPL, the tech sector leader and heavy weight is doing a parabolic rise lately, whose potential fall will lead to a crash in broad sector.
Possibility of a short term trend to retest all-time high $246: 60%
Possibility of a fake-move: 40%
Tuesday, March 20, 2012
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment